by James Buchanan
Moderate Republican candidates for president, like Mitt Romney have a long history of committing electoral suicide. They always make the same mistake from Gerald Ford to George H.W. Bush to Bob Dole: They get the hair-brained idea that they can steal liberal or minority votes away from the Democrats while not alienating the White conservative vote.
Now let’s consider the math of presidential elections. Typically Blacks vote 88 percent Democrat. The lowest support for the Democrats in recent history was still 80 percent. About the best a Republican candidate can possibly hope for from the Black population is a change of 8 percent. This means 8 percent of 13 percent of voters or 1 percent of the total vote. In order to get those votes a Republican candidate has to appear so liberal that the rest of the GOP starts calling him a Benedict Arnold.
The chart below shows how the Black vote has played out over the past 50 years. Every Republican, who has done well appealing to the Blacks, has alienated conservative Whites sufficiently so that he lost the election. Gerald Ford, George H.W. Bush and Bob Dole were all viewed as weakling moderates, who never strongly believed in conservative politics. Add to that, the fact that Obama is both Democrat and Black, and there should be every expectation that Obama will get 95 percent of the Black vote in 2012 even if Romney gets down on his knees pleading for Black votes.
It’s actually better for a Republican candidate to be a fully committed conservative like Ronald Reagan because at least then people know what they’re voting for, and they know that the policies will be different from the last liberal Democrat in office. Reagan proved that you could get a majority of the vote by having conservative beliefs and sticking to them. Moderate voters seem to appreciate the decisiveness which true conservatives have.
Mitt Romney’s latest stroll in the minefield of compromise has been to suggest that he might nominate Condoleezza Rice for vice-president. This would be nothing but a quota-hire choice designed to appease liberals and Blacks. There are two little problems that Romney’s advisers apparently have not considered: (1).The liberals and Blacks are NOT going to cross over to vote Republican in meaningful numbers and (2).Condoleeza Rice is pro-abortion, pro-racial quotas and voted for Obama in 2008. A White candidate with the same background would automatically be rejected as “too liberal” which proves this is a quota hire selection. Condoleezza Rice should never be made the Republican vice presidential candidate.
In regards to the Black vote, the Democrat Party has had the Black vote solidly locked up since 1964. Republican attempts to appeal to Blacks have ended in disaster since far more White voters are alienated by this pandering to minorities. George H.W. Bush came out of the closet as a liberal-compromiser in the 1992 election, got a tiny increase in the Black vote and lost in a landslide. Bob Dole tried being an endless compromiser in the 1996 election. He got a tiny increase in the Black vote and lost in a landslide. How many times does this certifiably bad idea of a Republican trying to appeal to Blacks have to be tried before everyone realizes that it doesn’t work?
The White majority is sick and tired of two generations of anti-White discrimination by government mandate. It is long overdue that all government racial quotas should be abolished. Even the people of California voted to end state government racial quotas with Proposition 209, which passed in 1996. The last thing White people want to see is some closet liberal Republican, who chooses an unqualified Black female to be his vice presidential running mate. If Mitt Romney can’t see the suicidal folly of a decision like that, he needs to hire some campaign advisers who can.